Vizela U23 3-1 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.7pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.99/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.51
+54% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-3 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
3-1
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 beat Sporting Braga U23 3-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Vizela U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 42% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 58%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Vizela U23 3-1 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 35%, draw 26%, Sporting Braga U23 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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