Gil Vicente U23 2-2 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.38/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.74
+9% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +84%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Famalicao U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 2-3 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
25.04.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 0-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-4 HT 1-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2-2
AWAY Famalicao U23
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 and Famalicao U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 34% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 66%, shots finished 5-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 2.00 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Gil Vicente U23 2-2 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 34%, draw 24%, Famalicao U23 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Famalicao U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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