Famalicao U23 2-3 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 0-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-4 HT 1-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
2-3
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 edged past Famalicao U23 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao U23 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 62% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 38%, shots finished 22-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.50 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Famalicao U23 2-3 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 52%, draw 23%, Gil Vicente U23 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Famalicao U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ Over 2.5
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