Ulinzi Stars 1-2 KCB Nairobi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 Dec 2025

📅11/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
40%
2.66
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.44
No
48%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
28%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
39%
Draw
34%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
37%
+14.7pp
48%
BTTS No
63%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 39%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.53/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.02
-41% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
1W-0D-3L
AWAY KCB Nairobi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-2 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN
29.09.2024 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
26.02.2022 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
12.12.2021 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulinzi Stars
1-2
AWAY KCB Nairobi
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs KCB Nairobi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KCB Nairobi squeezed past Ulinzi Stars 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (27% / 39% / 33%) promised a tight game; KCB Nairobi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ulinzi Stars had 51% of the ball to KCB Nairobi's 49%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, KCB Nairobi led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ulinzi Stars and 1.25 for KCB Nairobi.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs KCB Nairobi?

Ulinzi Stars 1-2 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 27%, draw 39%, KCB Nairobi 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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