KCB Nairobi 1-0 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.33
Over 2.5
29%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.6
No
62%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
26%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.8pp
71%
Under 2.5
72%
-0.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
28%
+0.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.2pp
62%
BTTS No
66%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KCB Nairobi
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
26.02.2022 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
12.12.2021 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KCB Nairobi
1-0
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KCB Nairobi vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KCB Nairobi squeezed past Ulinzi Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had KCB Nairobi as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KCB Nairobi had 49% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 51%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KCB Nairobi and 0.50 for Ulinzi Stars.

What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs Ulinzi Stars?

KCB Nairobi 1-0 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a KCB Nairobi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 43%, draw 35%, Ulinzi Stars 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KCB Nairobi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KCB Nairobi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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