Homeboyz 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.6pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.8pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.33/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/0.18
-57% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
29.10.2023 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
08.01.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 0-1 HT 0-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Homeboyz
0-1
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks squeezed past Homeboyz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Kariobangi Sharks made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Homeboyz had 48% of the ball to Kariobangi Sharks's 52%, shots finished 5-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Homeboyz and 0.50 for Kariobangi Sharks.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Homeboyz 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 33%, draw 33%, Kariobangi Sharks 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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