Muranga All Stars 1-1 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
29%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.5pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-10.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 39%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Muranga All Stars vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muranga All Stars and TransMara Sugar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 38% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Muranga All Stars vs TransMara Sugar?

Muranga All Stars 1-1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muranga All Stars vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Muranga All Stars 36%, draw 38%, TransMara Sugar 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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