Leopards SC 2-1 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

Leopards SC
2-1
Nairobi City Stars
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Leopards SC vs Nairobi City Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.7pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leopards SC v Nairobi City Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.94/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.00
-16% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Leopards SC vs Nairobi City Stars Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leopards SC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
05.01.2022 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 0-1 HT 0-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN2
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs Nairobi City Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC squeezed past Nairobi City Stars 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leopards SC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Nairobi City Stars?

Leopards SC 2-1 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Nairobi City Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 51%, draw 26%, Nairobi City Stars 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leopards SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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