SSC Giugliano 4-1 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
7%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.3pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.7pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.59/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.30
+38% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
239 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.09.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
08.04.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-0 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
04.12.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 3-2 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
4-1
AWAY Foggia Calcio
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano cruised past Foggia Calcio 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day SSC Giugliano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 55% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 45%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SSC Giugliano and 2.00 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Foggia Calcio?

SSC Giugliano 4-1 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 31%, draw 33%, Foggia Calcio 36%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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