Taranto 1-1 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
6.24
6+ Goals
8%
47.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taranto EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +31%
0.81/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.91
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taranto
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Picerno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-1 Taranto Taranto İTCK
11.09.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 1-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
12.03.2023 Taranto Taranto 0-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
06.11.2022 Picerno Picerno 2-1 HT 1-1 Taranto Taranto İTC
24.04.2022 Picerno Picerno 2-2 HT 1-1 Taranto Taranto İTC
19.12.2021 Taranto Taranto 2-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taranto
1-1
AWAY Picerno
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Taranto vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taranto and Picerno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Taranto had 54% of the ball to Picerno's 46%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Taranto and 1.17 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Taranto vs Picerno?

Taranto 1-1 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taranto vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taranto win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Taranto 35%, draw 34%, Picerno 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Taranto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taranto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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