Beerschot VA 1-1 RSC Anderlecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
9%
6.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.81 — our 27% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-15.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.43/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.40
+1% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.7 Crosses 11.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
3W-1D-1L
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.87 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
384 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2023 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 1-3 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
05.05.2023 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 0-2 HT 0-2 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
26.02.2023 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-0 HT 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
26.11.2022 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II 1-2 HT 1-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
29.10.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-2 HT 0-1 RSC Anderlecht II RSC Anderlecht II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beerschot VA
1-1
AWAY RSC Anderlecht II
2.43 xG 1.40
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
497 Passes 235
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
55 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Beerschot VA at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Beerschot VA had 65% of the ball to RSC Anderlecht II's 35%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.43 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Beerschot VA had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Beerschot VA and 0.80 for RSC Anderlecht II.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II?

Beerschot VA 1-1 RSC Anderlecht II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 50%, draw 23%, RSC Anderlecht II 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Beerschot VA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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