RFC Liege 1-0 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 12 Jan 2024

RFC Liege
1-0 HT 0-0
Patro Eisden
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 31% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RFC Liege v Patro Eisden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 37%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.85/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.18
+41% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
16.7 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Patro Eisden
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.85 xG 0.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
246 Passes 225
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 0-2 HT 0-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2

RFC Liege 1-0 Patro Eisden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
1-0
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.79 xG 1.07
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 Passes 175
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege squeezed past Patro Eisden 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and on the day RFC Liege made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, RFC Liege had 61% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 39%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.79 to 1.07.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden?

RFC Liege 1-0 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 34%, draw 26%, Patro Eisden 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Patro Eisden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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