Odisha FC 1-0 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.49
No
56%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
30%
2.55
6+ Goals
10%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.6pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
63%
-18.6pp
56%
BTTS No
37%
+18.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bengaluru
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 252
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 3-2 HT 2-2 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
25.04.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-2 HT 0-2 Odisha FC Odisha FC HINSK
14.01.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-1 HT 2-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
27.10.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
21.02.2022 Bengaluru Bengaluru 2-1 HT 1-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
24.11.2021 Odisha FC Odisha FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC squeezed past Bengaluru 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Odisha FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odisha FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Odisha FC and 1.50 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Bengaluru?

Odisha FC 1-0 Bengaluru in the India - Super Cup on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 54%, draw 19%, Bengaluru 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odisha FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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