Elche 1-0 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.37
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.41
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
21%
3.89
X/2
6%
9.24
X/X
15%
4.02
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
11%
8.12
2/X
6%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
1.77/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.10
-3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
25.2 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.59 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
340 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
14.04.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
11.11.2023 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
16.08.2020 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
13.08.2020 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
15.02.2020 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
1-0
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.80 xG 0.42
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
429 Passes 234
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Elche vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche nicked a narrow win over Real Zaragoza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Elche had 63% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 37%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.80 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Elche and 1.00 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Elche vs Real Zaragoza?

Elche 1-0 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Elche 51%, draw 27%, Real Zaragoza 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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