Real Zaragoza 1-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

Real Zaragoza
1-1 HT 0-0
Elche
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Real Zaragoza vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
6.65
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.71
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.1
X/1
12%
5.59
X/2
11%
4.87
X/X
15%
3.26
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.88
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Zaragoza v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.08/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.08
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.3 Crosses 22.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Real Zaragoza vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Elche
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.52 xG 0.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
314 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
16.08.2020 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
13.08.2020 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
15.02.2020 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
30.08.2019 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
16.03.2019 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2

Real Zaragoza 1-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
1-1
AWAY Elche
0.88 xG 1.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
267 Passes 441
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza and Elche couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 41% of the ball to Elche's 59%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.88 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Zaragoza and 0.67 for Elche.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Elche?

Real Zaragoza 1-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 31%, draw 33%, Elche 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Elche), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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