Albacete 1-0 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
16%
4.32
X/2
11%
6.74
X/X
12%
3.72
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
5.68
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -23%
1.47/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.05
-12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.8 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Tenerife
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 275
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
04.02.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
09.10.2022 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
14.03.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
29.11.2020 Albacete Albacete 0-2 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
04.01.2020 Tenerife Tenerife 4-2 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
1-0
AWAY Tenerife
3.19 xG 0.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
431 Passes 375
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
47 Box Touches 2
32 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete edged past Tenerife 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Albacete as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Albacete had 53% of the ball to Tenerife's 47%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 3.19 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Albacete's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Albacete and 2.00 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Tenerife?

Albacete 1-0 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Albacete 42%, draw 27%, Tenerife 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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