Real Oviedo 1-1 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.17
6+ Goals
11%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.97
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.75
X/1
22%
3.5
X/2
5%
11.75
X/X
13%
4.83
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
13%
10.4
2/X
9%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.51/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.47
-2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
25.2 Crosses 14.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mirandes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.82 xG 1.07
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
295 Passes 384
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
04.03.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
26.11.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
30.04.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
26.11.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
24.05.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-1
AWAY Mirandes
0.82 xG 1.08
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
416 Passes 135
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo and Mirandes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 70% of the ball to Mirandes's 30%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.83 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Mirandes?

Real Oviedo 1-1 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 50%, draw 28%, Mirandes 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Oviedo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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