Real Madrid (K) 3-1 Granada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.16
Draw
33%
7.13
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
82%
-48.6pp
33%
Draw
11%
+22.0pp
33%
Away Win
7%
+26.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.41/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.82
-4% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
38.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.0 Crosses 14.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Granada (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.54 xG 0.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
406 Passes 273
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 3
14 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Granada (K) Granada (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
3-1
AWAY Granada (K)
3.98 xG 1.35
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
369 Passes 212
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
39 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Granada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) saw off Granada (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 60% of the ball to Granada (K)'s 40%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 3.98 to 1.35.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Granada (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 3-1 Granada (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Granada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Granada (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar More İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
12 Jan 2025
14:00 Valencia (K) vs Real Sociedad (K) Analysis →
14:00 Atletico Madrid (K) vs Levante (K) Analysis →
16:00 Real Betis (K) vs Madrid CFF (K) Analysis →