Chabab Atlas Khenifra 1-0 Raja Beni Mellal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.6pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Atlas Khenifra EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-73% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
194 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 3-1 HT 1-0 Chabab Atlas Khenifra FAS2
16.12.2023 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
19.03.2023 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 1-3 HT 0-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs Raja Beni Mellal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chabab Atlas Khenifra squeezed past Raja Beni Mellal 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Raja Beni Mellal at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chabab Atlas Khenifra and 1.33 for Raja Beni Mellal.

What was the final score of Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs Raja Beni Mellal?

Chabab Atlas Khenifra 1-0 Raja Beni Mellal in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs Raja Beni Mellal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Beni Mellal win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chabab Atlas Khenifra 29%, draw 24%, Raja Beni Mellal 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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