USM Oujda 2-1 Wydad Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.6pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wydad Fes EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.18/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.90
-6% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Wydad Fes
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2024 USM Oujda 2-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
10.12.2023 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Oujda FAS2
06.05.2023 USM Oujda 1-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
06.11.2022 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Oujda FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Oujda
2-1
AWAY Wydad Fes
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda squeezed past Wydad Fes 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM Oujda as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Oujda had 56% of the ball to Wydad Fes's 44%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for USM Oujda and 0.50 for Wydad Fes.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes?

USM Oujda 2-1 Wydad Fes in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 50%, draw 30%, Wydad Fes 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Oujda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Oujda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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