North District 3-1 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kowloon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 North District North District 2-3 HT 0-2 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK1
19.03.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 2-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK2
POST-MATCH North District vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District got the better of Kowloon City 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day North District made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kowloon City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for North District and 2.50 for Kowloon City.

What was the final score of North District vs Kowloon City?

North District 3-1 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a North District win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split North District 38%, draw 26%, Kowloon City 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North District), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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12 Jan 2025
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