North District 2-3 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
328 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kowloon City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.03.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 2-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
2-3
AWAY Kowloon City
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH North District vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kowloon City nicked a narrow win over North District 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was North District at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, North District had 59% of the ball to Kowloon City's 41%, shots finished 21-15.

What was the final score of North District vs Kowloon City?

North District 2-3 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a North District win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split North District 41%, draw 26%, Kowloon City 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (North District) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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