Hong Kong FC 1-3 Hong Kong Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.48
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
46%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.43
Over 2.5
45%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
19%
+12.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
46%
Away Win
60%
-13.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+17.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-17.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.4pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 64%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.40/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/1.12
+35% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 2-1 HT 2-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
05.11.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
16.04.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
16.10.2022 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
28.11.2021 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 4-0 HT 2-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HONFK
07.11.2021 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
1-3
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Hong Kong Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong Rangers saw off Hong Kong FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hong Kong Rangers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 44% of the ball to Hong Kong Rangers's 56%, shots finished 4-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hong Kong Rangers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hong Kong FC and 2.33 for Hong Kong Rangers.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Hong Kong FC 1-3 Hong Kong Rangers in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hong Kong Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 32%, draw 22%, Hong Kong Rangers 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hong Kong Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hong Kong Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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15 Sep 2024
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