Hong Kong Rangers 2-1 Hong Kong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.09/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.18
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +68%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Hong Kong FC
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
16.04.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
16.10.2022 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
28.11.2021 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 4-0 HT 2-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HONFK
07.11.2021 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
2-1
AWAY Hong Kong FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hong Kong Rangers vs Hong Kong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong Rangers squeezed past Hong Kong FC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hong Kong Rangers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hong Kong Rangers had 60% of the ball to Hong Kong FC's 40%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hong Kong Rangers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Hong Kong Rangers and 0.80 for Hong Kong FC.

What was the final score of Hong Kong Rangers vs Hong Kong FC?

Hong Kong Rangers 2-1 Hong Kong FC in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong Rangers vs Hong Kong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hong Kong Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong Rangers 56%, draw 25%, Hong Kong FC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hong Kong Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hong Kong Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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