Sham Shui Po vs Lee Man Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sham Shui Po v Lee Man — Team-Based Signals
Sham Shui Po vs Lee Man Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Sham Shui Po
HK1
4-0
HT 0-0
Sham Shui Po
HK1
0-4
HT 0-2
Lee Man
HK1
Sham Shui Po 1-6 Lee Man — Actual Match Statistics
Lee Man swept aside Sham Shui Po 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Sham Shui Po had 31% of the ball to Lee Man's 69%, shots finished 9-28.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sham Shui Po and 3.00 for Lee Man.
What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Lee Man?
Sham Shui Po 1-6 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Lee Man?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 12%, draw 27%, Lee Man 61%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man) — while BTTS No went the other way.