North District 0-1 HK U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.28
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-17.5pp
26%
Draw
15%
+10.8pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY HK U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.03/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/3.95
+6% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
1W-0D-0L
AWAY HK U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
25.11.2023 HK U23 HK U23 1-3 HT 0-2 North District North District HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
0-1
AWAY HK U23
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH North District vs HK U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK U23 squeezed past North District 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had North District at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, North District had 61% of the ball to HK U23's 39%, shots finished 22-10.

What was the final score of North District vs HK U23?

North District 0-1 HK U23 in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs HK U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a North District win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split North District 57%, draw 26%, HK U23 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (North District) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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