Mathare United 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
17%
+13.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
56%
-16.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 60%
+68% / +68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
208 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 HT 0-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN2
31.10.2021 Mathare United Mathare United 0-6 HT 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mathare United
0-0
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mathare United and Kariobangi Sharks played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Mathare United had 39% of the ball to Kariobangi Sharks's 61%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kariobangi Sharks led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mathare United and 3.50 for Kariobangi Sharks.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Mathare United 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 31%, draw 30%, Kariobangi Sharks 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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