Ulinzi Stars vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ulinzi Stars v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals
Ulinzi Stars 1-0 TransMara Sugar — Actual Match Statistics
Ulinzi Stars edged past TransMara Sugar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulinzi Stars as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Ulinzi Stars had 54% of the ball to TransMara Sugar's 46%, shots finished 14-9.
What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs TransMara Sugar?
Ulinzi Stars 1-0 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs TransMara Sugar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 52%, draw 27%, TransMara Sugar 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulinzi Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.