Al Hazm 3-2 Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 12 Jan 2026

📅12/01/2026 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Najma EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.94/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.89
+16% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.3 Crosses 16.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
3-2
AWAY Najma
2.69 xG 1.22
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
381 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 7
34 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm nicked a narrow win over Najma 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hazm as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Hazm had 60% of the ball to Najma's 40%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.69 to 1.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hazm's control.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Najma?

Al Hazm 3-2 Najma in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 12/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hazm win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 45%, draw 28%, Najma 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hazm), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hazm) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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