Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh saw off Al Nassr 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 52% of the ball to Al Nassr's 48%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 2.12 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.33 for Al Nassr.
What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 12/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 49%, draw 21%, Al Nassr 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.