Deportivo Maipu 0-2 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.33
Over 2.5
29%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.6
No
71%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
71%
Under 2.5
72%
-1.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
28%
+1.3pp
29%
BTTS Yes
34%
-5.0pp
71%
BTTS No
66%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.41/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.69
+17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +76%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
0W-0D-2L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
29.03.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
28.06.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maipu
0-2
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman saw off Deportivo Maipu 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Maipu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (71%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Maipu had 58% of the ball to San Martin Tucuman's 42%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.50 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?

Deportivo Maipu 0-2 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 42%, draw 28%, San Martin Tucuman 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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