Mirassol FC 2-2 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A1, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
0.99/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.86
+5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
18.0 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Santos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.60 xG 2.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
250 Passes 398
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2023 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
18.02.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-2 HT 3-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
08.03.2020 Santos Santos 3-1 HT 3-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
09.02.2019 Santos Santos 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
22.03.2013 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
18.02.2012 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
2-2
AWAY Santos
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
361 Passes 284
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Santos shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 53% of the ball to Santos's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mirassol FC and 2.17 for Santos.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Santos?

Mirassol FC 2-2 Santos in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 45%, draw 30%, Santos 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BREPAU More Brazil - Paulista A1
12 Feb 2024
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