Caxias 2-1 Santa Cruz RS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Gaucho 1, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
22%
+16.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
53%
-15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caxias The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz RS The Market 56%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caxias
2-1
AWAY Santa Cruz RS
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Caxias vs Santa Cruz RS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caxias nicked a narrow win over Santa Cruz RS 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Caxias made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Caxias had 52% of the ball to Santa Cruz RS's 48%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Caxias vs Santa Cruz RS?

Caxias 2-1 Santa Cruz RS in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caxias vs Santa Cruz RS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caxias win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Caxias 38%, draw 25%, Santa Cruz RS 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caxias), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caxias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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