EC Sao Jose 0-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Gaucho 1, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.5pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.9pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EC Sao Jose The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional The Market 62%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.00/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.92
+5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EC Sao Jose
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Internacional
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose BRG1
21.02.2022 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose 3-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BRG1
01.04.2021 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose BRG1
04.02.2015 Internacional Internacional 4-4 HT 3-2 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EC Sao Jose
0-1
AWAY Internacional
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH EC Sao Jose vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional squeezed past EC Sao Jose 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, EC Sao Jose had 41% of the ball to Internacional's 59%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for EC Sao Jose and 2.00 for Internacional.

What was the final score of EC Sao Jose vs Internacional?

EC Sao Jose 0-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EC Sao Jose vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split EC Sao Jose 25%, draw 29%, Internacional 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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