Guastatoya 2-1 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.89/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.39
+38% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
6 Corners 4
03.12.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
30.11.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
01.10.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
28.08.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-2 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
06.04.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
11.02.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya edged past Antigua GFC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guastatoya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guastatoya and 1.17 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?

Guastatoya 2-1 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 49%, draw 30%, Antigua GFC 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guastatoya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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