Xelaju MC 2-1 Coatepeque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Coatepeque EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.64/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.32
-11% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 189 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Coatepeque
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Coatepeque 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
26.08.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coatepeque GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
2-1
AWAY Coatepeque
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Coatepeque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC nicked a narrow win over Coatepeque 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 60% of the ball to Coatepeque's 40%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.50 for Coatepeque.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Coatepeque?

Xelaju MC 2-1 Coatepeque in the Guatemala - National League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Coatepeque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 58%, draw 22%, Coatepeque 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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