Millwall U21 2-2 Colchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.3pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
2.98/3.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+41% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Millwall U21 vs Colchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall U21 and Colchester United U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Millwall U21 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Millwall U21 vs Colchester United U21?

Millwall U21 2-2 Colchester United U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall U21 vs Colchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Millwall U21 55%, draw 20%, Colchester United U21 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Millwall U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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