Swansea City U21 3-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.8
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.96
Over 2.5
46%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-12.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
30%
+24.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
70%
-24.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.8pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City U21 squeezed past AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Swansea City U21 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Swansea City U21 3-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 39%, draw 26%, AFC Bournemouth U21 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City U21) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✗ Under 2.5
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