West Bromwich Albion U21 0-1 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
34%
4.08
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.98
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.2pp
34%
Draw
21%
+13.2pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.1pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich Albion U21 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich Albion U21
0-1
AWAY Derby County U21
0.54 xG 1.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
224 Passes 381
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County U21 squeezed past West Bromwich Albion U21 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and on the day Derby County U21 made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, West Bromwich Albion U21 had 41% of the ball to Derby County U21's 59%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.54 to 1.02.

What was the final score of West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Derby County U21?

West Bromwich Albion U21 0-1 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich Albion U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich Albion U21 37%, draw 34%, Derby County U21 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich Albion U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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