Cerro Porteno 1-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.34/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.40
+6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Libertad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.11.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
27.08.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
03.06.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
03.04.2023 Libertad Libertad 5-0 HT 5-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
01.11.2022 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
05.09.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-1
AWAY Libertad
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno and Libertad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 57% of the ball to Libertad's 43%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.17 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Libertad?

Cerro Porteno 1-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 36%, draw 28%, Libertad 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
12 Feb 2024
02:45 Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion Analysis →