Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.43/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.16
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.09.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
23.05.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
19.03.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
17.10.2021 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
01.08.2021 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2-0
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno got the better of Nacional Asuncion 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sportivo Luqueno as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 48% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 52%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 0.83 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 42%, draw 28%, Nacional Asuncion 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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