Everton 2-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 12 Feb 2025

Everton
2-2 HT 1-1
Liverpool
📅12/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Everton vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
11.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
11.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.0
1/X
7%
19.65
X/1
11%
12.9
X/2
17%
3.83
X/X
9%
5.86
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.79
2/X
8%
17.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-12.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 69%
+18% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.98/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.11
-33% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 83%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.9
13.2 Crosses 22.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Everton vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Liverpool
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 2.19
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
175 Passes 560
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Everton Everton 2-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
21.10.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
13.02.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
03.09.2022 Everton Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
24.04.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
01.12.2021 Everton Everton 1-4 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP

Everton 2-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
2-2
AWAY Liverpool
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
207 Passes 438
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Everton vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton and Liverpool couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Everton had 37% of the ball to Liverpool's 63%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Everton and 1.67 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Everton vs Liverpool?

Everton 2-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Everton 25%, draw 24%, Liverpool 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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