Belouizdad 3-0 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-11.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.49/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.64
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belouizdad
1W-1D-3L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-0 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
04.05.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-1 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
07.10.2023 Belouizdad Belouizdad 2-3 HT 2-2 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
10.07.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 4-0 HT 2-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
11.12.2022 Belouizdad Belouizdad 2-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belouizdad
3-0
AWAY USM Khenchela
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belouizdad swept aside USM Khenchela 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Belouizdad as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Belouizdad had 56% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 44%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, USM Khenchela led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Belouizdad and 1.80 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela?

Belouizdad 3-0 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 56%, draw 21%, USM Khenchela 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belouizdad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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