El Gounah 2-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.63
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.26
Over 2.5
21%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.53
No
73%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
1.63
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
10%
8.59
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
31%
Draw
35%
-3.7pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.8pp
79%
Under 2.5
76%
+3.7pp
21%
Over 2.5
24%
-3.7pp
27%
BTTS Yes
36%
-8.1pp
73%
BTTS No
64%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.91/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.93
-31% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.1 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ismaily
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 0.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
236 Passes 338
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
26.02.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
28.07.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 0-3 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
23.02.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
05.05.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 3-2 HT 1-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
21.12.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 2-1 HT 0-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
2-0
AWAY Ismaily
0.94 xG 0.69
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
145 Passes 408
56% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Box Touches 9
7 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah beat Ismaily 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day El Gounah made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (79%), no to both teams scoring (73%) came in.

On the day, El Gounah had 33% of the ball to Ismaily's 67%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.94 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Gounah and 1.33 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Ismaily?

El Gounah 2-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 40%, draw 31%, Ismaily 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Gounah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Gounah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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