Ismaily 1-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Jul 2024

Ismaily
1-1 HT 1-0
El Gounah
📅22/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2023/2024

Ismaily vs El Gounah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 39% vs market 34.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ismaily v El Gounah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.18/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.32
-23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.6 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ismaily vs El Gounah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
2W-2D-2L
AWAY El Gounah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
323 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.02.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
28.07.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 0-3 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
23.02.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
05.05.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 3-2 HT 1-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
21.12.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 2-1 HT 0-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
09.03.2020 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR

Ismaily 1-1 El Gounah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
1-1
AWAY El Gounah
1.09 xG 0.37
69% Ball Possession 31%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
397 Passes 142
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
11 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily and El Gounah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Ismaily had 69% of the ball to El Gounah's 31%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.09 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ismaily and 1.00 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs El Gounah?

Ismaily 1-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 40%, draw 30%, El Gounah 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ismaily), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ismaily) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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