Pyramids 0-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 42%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.74/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.02
-5% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 76%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
28.0 Crosses 13.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Ahly
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
337 Passes 400
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-2 HT 1-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
23.07.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
05.05.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRSK
10.04.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSRK
02.01.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 1-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
16.07.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
0-1
AWAY Al Ahly
0.28 xG 0.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
349 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly squeezed past Pyramids 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Ahly found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pyramids had 54% of the ball to Al Ahly's 46%, shots finished 7-3, expected goals 0.28 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pyramids and 1.50 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs Al Ahly?

Pyramids 0-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 31%, draw 29%, Al Ahly 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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