GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 1461 Trabzon FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.82
Over 2.5
61%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.8pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
51%
-11.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
49%
+11.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.77/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.98
+2% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 1-2 HT 0-1 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-B
19.03.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-4 HT 0-2 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK T2L-K
05.10.2022 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 1-1 HT 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1-1
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor and 1461 Trabzon FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. GMG Kastamonuspor carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GMG Kastamonuspor had 71% of the ball to 1461 Trabzon FK's 29%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 2.00 for 1461 Trabzon FK.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 1461 Trabzon FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 57%, draw 18%, 1461 Trabzon FK 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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