Atletico Choloma 0-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 12 Feb 2026

📅12/02/2026 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Choloma EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 58%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.29/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.92
+150% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Choloma
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Olancho
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
08.12.2025 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma 0-4 HT 0-3 Olancho Olancho HON
22.09.2025 Olancho Olancho 6-2 HT 5-1 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma HON
POST-MATCH Atletico Choloma vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho squeezed past Atletico Choloma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Choloma and 5.00 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Atletico Choloma vs Olancho?

Atletico Choloma 0-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Choloma vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Choloma 22%, draw 29%, Olancho 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
12 Feb 2026
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