Genesis PN 0-5 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 12 Feb 2026

📅12/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
0.77/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.86
-30% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Motagua
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
05.10.2025 Motagua Motagua 4-3 HT 3-1 Genesis PN HON
08.05.2025 Genesis PN 1-4 HT 1-1 Motagua Motagua HON
03.02.2025 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
11.11.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
15.09.2024 Genesis PN 0-3 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
04.04.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua ran out comfortable winners over Genesis PN 5-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Genesis PN and 2.33 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Genesis PN 0-5 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 28%, draw 26%, Motagua 46%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Under 2.5
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