Genesis PN 1-4 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 8 May 2025

Genesis PN
1-4 HT 1-1
Motagua
📅08/05/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Motagua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
0.74/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.94
-27% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Genesis PN vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Motagua
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
03.02.2025 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
11.11.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
15.09.2024 Genesis PN 0-3 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
04.04.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
05.02.2024 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
30.09.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua ran out comfortable winners over Genesis PN 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Genesis PN and 1.33 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Genesis PN 1-4 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 29%, draw 27%, Motagua 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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